Managing Global Political Risk - The Sovereign Debt Threat

22 Feb, 2013 (GMT+8) Mochtar Riady Auditorium, Singapore Management University, Administration Building Level 5, 81 Victoria Street Singapore
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MIGA-IE-SMU SUMMIT

Managing Global Political Risk - The Sovereign Debt Threat

 22 February 2013

8:30 am – 1:00 pm

 Venue

Mochtar Riady Auditorium

Singapore Management University

Administration Building Level 5

81 Victoria Street

 

The risk of advanced economies defaulting on their debts - once highly unlikely - is now a real threat to the stability of the region, and will have far reaching consequences for the global economy.

 MIGA-IE-SMU SUMMIT: Managing Global Political Risk - The Sovereign Debt Threat

Co-organised and co-hosted by International Enterprise Singapore (IES), Singapore Management University (SMU), and Multilateral Investment Guarantee Agency (MIGA), a member of the World Bank Group, will feature a combination of insightful presentations and interactive panel discussions on the relationship between sovereign risk and political risk, and their impact on global markets.

 AGENDA

 08:30 - 09:00     Registration and Breakfast

 09:00 - 09:05     Welcome Remarks 

Prof Annie Koh, Academic Director, International Trading Centre and Vice President, Business Development and External Relations, SMU

 09:05 - 09:20     Opening Speech

Teo Eng Cheong, Chief Executive Officer, IE

09:20 - 09:35     Keynote Speech

Michel Wormser, Vice President and Chief Operating Officer, MIGA, World Bank Group

09:35 – 10:00    One-on-one interview with Dr Parag Khanna interviewed by Kevin Lu

Dr Parag Khanna, Senior Fellow, Singapore Institute of International Affairs, and Kevin Lu, Regional Director, Asia Pacific, MIGA, World Bank Group

10:00 - 11:00     Panel 1 Discussion: Managing sovereign risk and balancing opportunities in emerging markets

  • How does sovereign risk relate to different types of political risk? How does stress on sovereign credit risk affect the broader political economy?
  • What challenges are faced in cross border investments in emerging markets? What are the types of common risks in emerging markets?
  • Does sovereign risk necessarily result in elevated political risk when economic and financial market conditions become more difficult in a country? What steps must companies take to mitigate these challenges?

MODERATOR: Prof Annie Koh, Academic Director, International Trading Centre and Vice President, Business Development and External Relations, SMU

Richard Grosvenor, Chief Executive Officer & President, Sembawang Engineers & Constructors

Sam Ong, Group Deputy Chief Executive Officer, Hyflux

Subash Narayanan, Project Finance, Energy, Chemicals & Infrastructure, DBS

Babatunde Onitiri, Senior Manager, IFC, World Bank Group

11:00 - 11:30     Networking Break

11:30 – 12.00    MIGA Report: World Investment and Political Risk

Paul Barbour, Senior Risk Management Officer, MIGA, World Bank Group

12.00 – 13.00    Panel 2 Discussion: Implications of sovereign risk on Asia capital flows

  • How are country downgrades, the deepening fiscal crisis, and sovereign debt challenges in advanced economies, affecting emerging markets’ FDI prospects?
  • Will interventionist government policies replace the more liberal economic and financial policies adopted so far, and what does it mean for investors?
  • How easy is it to assess whether a government will meet its obligations in light of rising public pressure and civil disturbance caused by severe fiscal austerity plans?

 MODERATOR: Bert Hofman, Director & Chief Economist, World Bank

Lutfey Siddiqi, Managing Director UBS and Adjunct Professor NUS

Richard Jerram, Chief Economist, Bank of Singapore

Tim Condon, ING Chief Emerging Market Economist

Dr Parag Khanna, Senior Fellow, Singapore Institute of International Affairs

13.00 – 13.05    Chair's Closing Remarks

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Managing Global Political Risk - The Sovereign Debt Threat

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